ovid-19 pandemics and Exchange rate pressure: an analysis of emerging countries in the period jan2020-jan/2021

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1590/c383zm33

Abstract

The objective of this article is to make an empirical characterization of the Covid-19 crisis on emerging countries during the period January/2020 to January/2021, using an exchange rate pressure indicator that takes into account exchange rate, reserves and real interest rates weighted by their standard deviations. Conclusions: i) the most acute period of the crisis occurred in March/20, being among the three biggest periods of exchange pressure since 2003 - behind October/08 and September/11; ii) Algeria, Brazil, Turkey, Pakistan and Nigeria experienced the most severe and persistent effects; iii) in most countries, the external adjustment was mainly due to exchange devaluations, to the detriment of the use of reserves and/or interest rates.

Author Biographies

  • Adriano Vilela Sampaio, Universidade Federal Fluminense

    Professor do Departamento de Economia da Universidade Federal Fluminense. Membro do Grupo de Pesquisa em Financeirização e Desenvolvimento (Finde).  

  • Mauricio Andrade Weiss, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul

    Professor do Departamento de Economia e Relações Internacionais da Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul. Membro do Grupo de Pesquisa em Financeirização e Desenvolvimento (Finde), do Structuralist Development Macroeconomics (SDM) e do Núcleo de Análise de Política Econômica (NAPE).

  • Paulo Van Noije , Unicamp

    Professor da Faculdade de Ciências Aplicadas da Universidade Estadual de Campinas. Membro do Laboratório de Estudos do Setor Público (LESP/FCA) e do Centro de Estudos de Conjuntura e Política Econômica (CECON/Unicamp)

Published

2025-09-17